numberwang said: Fun fact: all three instances of the Bubonic plague (Plague of Justinian, Black Death, third plague pandemic) originated in China. That would be an argument against the modern Wuhan-theory. Maybe eating those exotic animals is a gateway for infections. Italy juts just 566 new cases in one day, reaching China levels of new infections. Overall fatality rate will probably stay between 1-2%, mostly older people. Total number of active infected is decreasing worldwide bc China is reporting more recoveries than new infections. We have to see if the spread outside of China will rise exponentially and raise that number again. |
Check this page
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#newly-infected-newly-recovered
Especially the total cases outside China graph, it's growing exponentially, even slowly accelerating on the logarithmic scale. Growth factor outside China is about 1.3 and I bet the number of new cases is still under reported (not all get detected)
Italy almost China in new cases for today, South Korea already has.