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HylianSwordsman on 16 February 2020
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Since there's concern about Texas, let me give you all some good news.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/02/14/bernie-sanders-leading-texas-ahead-super-tuesday-uttt-poll-says/

Here's a poll through YouGov, they're not particularly left leaning or Sanders loving. They show Sanders leading the primary, and Trump leading every Dem contender in Texas. How is that good news? It comes amazingly close, and Sanders is the closest! Within the margin of error even! He performs the best, at least of the major candidates. Oddly enough, the other candidate that did well was Yang.

From the article:

"But when pitted against some of the top Democrats in hypothetical head-to-head contests, the president topped them all, if somewhat narrowly. Trump would beat Sanders by 2 percentage points, 47%-45%, within the poll’s margin of error. He’d beat Biden 47-43, Warren 47-44, Bloomberg 46-41, Buttigieg 47-42, and Klobuchar 46-41. Trump had 45% support against Yang’s 43%. The president, whose reelect number was under 50% in the survey, didn't get a majority of the vote in any of the matchups, even while getting more support than each Democrat."

As it says at the end of my quote there, the survey also asked about who would reelect Trump, and his numbers were pretty lousy for Texas. Only 80% definite yes for Republicans, while 88% definite no from Democrats, and Independents lean heavily no, with 48% definite no to only 25% definite yes. That adds up to an overall of 40% definite yes to 47% definite no, and with the probable yes and no thrown in that's 48% to 52%. So Trump is INCREDIBLY weak in Texas, and Bernie has the best chance of beating him there, per a pollster that has never particularly favored him or Democrats.

Also in Texas, another poll through YouGov, this time the generic congressional ballot:

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1228208833131995136?s=20

It shows Dems LEADING the generic congressional ballot by +3! Seeing as voters probably expect Sanders to win the nomination, having him at the top of the ticket is probably factored into a lot of people's congressional decisions at this point, so if Sander's is a drag on them, it's not by enough. Texas is definitely already a swing state. Democrats might not win it this time, but they also very well might, and even if they don't, it's still definitely purple now and they'll win it soon enough.