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The mortality rate outside of Hubei is actually 0.16% at the moment, rather similar to past flu outbreaks in previous decades. Of course, some cases are likely yet to develop (to bacterial or viral pneumonia for instance) but I'm strongly suspecting the virus is far, far more widespread in Hubei than the number of registered suspected cases - and potentially has been for months -, but medics and authorities only started to notice an uptick in respiratory diseases once winter began.

I mean, a province the size of Hubei has to register at least 800 - 1600 flu deaths a month in winter, educately extrapolating from US and Europe statistics, so it's reasonable to assume the epidemic wouldn't have been noticed right away and not only because the chinese government had supressed "alarmists".