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Its highly likely that MS will do better next gen than this one. That doesn't mean they're going to sell more consoles than PS, or even more consoles than XB1. But, there almost certainly will be more people playing XB games and paying MS for the privilege. That seems to be all that they care about, based on their investments in subscription services.

So, will XB win in the traditional sense - probably not. Will more people play XB games over the next decade than the last - probably yes.

I think, for the record, that both PS and XB can grow next generation. They don't necessarily have to take a larger piece of the pie to do that. They can grow the pie, either through streaming, or otherwise making their games available on more devices (Gamepass on Switch, for example). This would be the optimal outcome, IMO.