Nintendo Quarterly Results (Switch 52.48m, Pokemon 16m)

[peachbuggy]

Barkley said:

peachbuggy said:

The numbers shipped should be way over last years' final quarter, i'd say at least 3.47, what with Animal crossing coming. There's not many OG Switches at all sitting on store shelves, just lites. So hopefully Nintendo get the balance right when shipping for this month. Your prediction of 22m shipped may be perhaps optimistic but 21m+ seems possible if not likely.

Nintendo are terrible at forecasting, their 18m forecast was obviously too low from the moment they released it, just as their 20m forecast the year before was obviously too high to everyone except them.

That being said I don't see any situation where they ship literally double their forecast for the next quarter. It's a short-term forecast now they can't be THAT wrong. I could maybe see them shipping 2.5m compared to the 1.76m forecast, but any more then that would be really pushing it imo.

Well I would agree normally but 1.yes they are terrible at predicting and 2.i don't see Animal Crossing being anything less than massive and I believe it will force Nintendo to ship more than they had otherwise planned. Undershipping on a major games' release could have negative affects on them, especially from those who intend to buy a Switch specifically for said game. There should be no way this quarter shipments should be down on last years' with such a big game releasing in it. At this point, I think Nintendo want to knowingly smash their forecasts to look good in the shareholders' eyes. Just my thoughts on it though.