This is the 3rd stat model to show how grossly undercounted the #nCoV2019 is. In this case:
- official reproductive number is 2.5, but this says it's actually 3.6 to 4.0
- only 5.1% of infections in #Wuhan are identified now.
(which would imply 11,680 cases now in China.) https://t.co/cmmiOupEA6
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/video-appears-to-show-bodies-covered-by-sheets-in-crowded-wuhan-hospital-hallway-1.4781995
Ok, I'm a little nervous. Undercounting cases as much as 10:1 is a little scary, and the fact that it can incubate for as much as 2 weeks and still spread coming out tells me this is going to get bad quick.
Also, this isn't going to calm frayed nerves:
https://www.businessinsider.com/scientist-simulated-coronavirus-pandemic-deaths-2020-1
Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).
