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Nu-13 on 09 January 2020
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thismeintiel said:
Keiji said:

It's Wii all over again. The Switch is probably going to sell 53M-54M in it's first 3 years on the market, then some expect it to sell another 100M+ in the following 3 years? Ok...

I gave neither a 100m number or 3 year time spam. You wasted a great opportunity of not putting words in people's mouths.

think-man said:
Nu-13 said:

To say no console ever will is wrong. It is a really high bar to cross but not impossible. As it stands, the hypothetical switch 2 has the best chances to do so out of consoles coming in the near future.

There is absolutely zero evidence that a switch 2 could pull PS2 numbers. A switch 2 could pull a DS to 3DS numbers for all we know, given it won't be a new exciting idea I'd speculate that's a more probable outcome. Although there's also zero evidence of that outcome aswell. 

The switch is the evidence. A successor following it's footsteps and getting better support since launch will obviously have more sales potential. Also,"won't be a new and exciting idea"? Why the hell do you think it would need that? Being a portable and home console was greatly accepted by the market and will remain a huge selling point.

yo33331 said:
Panicradio said:
Reaching 100 million units is basically a major milestone for every manufacturer. Even though the Switch will reach the 80-90 million units with ease, all units are a completely different game after that.

There is as much as little evidence that the PS5 could reach 130-150 million units. Let the price drop to 199 dollars, along with bundles with Tsushima, Cyberpunk, FF or TLOU2, and the PS5 could have a much better year than the 10 million units predicted.

Personally, in my opinion, only the PS5 has the most likely chance of trumping the PS2.

You meant PS4 right ? I agree with you. At the worst PS4 will get to 130M. At best I don't know .. 150M isn't out of the question with proper price cuts, marketing and enough price difference from PS5. 199$ vs 499/599$ I think can do the job.

At the current pace the ps4 is declining, 130m isn't even the best it could reach regardless of price cuts and ps5 price (the latter being pretty irrelevant to the outcome anyway). 120m would be a better estimative with a margin for error of a few million.