shikamaru317 said:
Ampere is the next generation of Nvidia’s desktop graphics. Switch 2 will not be using desktop graphics, I can assure you of that. Nintendo needs a chip that only uses about 10 watts for handheld play, which means they either have to use an Nvidia Tegra chip, or go with another mobile chip supplier like Qualcomm, at the cost of backwards compatibility with Switch 1 games. Now I suppose they could contract Nvidia to build a custom Tegra chip which uses Ampere graphics cores, but that would be very expensive, likely out of the budget for a $300-350 system in 2022. Maybe in 2023 if they decide to wait that long, but I doubt they will. |
I don't know why you are so sure Switch 2 would come out in 2022. 2023 seems far more likely, and would mean there is time to get a later chip. I pretty much think there is no way they will release a new system before 2023. Think about it, Switch is still gaining momentum. It's gonna have about a 20 million sales year this year (better than PS4's best year), and in all likelihood will sell even more next year. In 2021 it should still be selling very strongly (likely a lot better than PS4 did this year, a year before its next system), they're not gonna cut that off with a 2022 release.
I'm assuming they'll do another Spring time release because having two big selling periods in year 1 for the Switch worked really well. So Spring 2023 is the most likely date. Also Nintendo themselves said they want the Switch's lifespan to be longer, which guarantees it'll be no shorter than 6 years. I don't think they'd wait longer than 2023 though because by 2022 they won't be getting any multiplat games anymore since development will have totally switched over to the new gen rather than ps4/one, so to not go too long without any big multiplat games they'll need to release in 2023.
I could see them doing a holiday 2023 release if they need more time to get great launch games ready, which is certainly possible if they want a Zelda or 3D Mario to launch with the system and even if BotW 2 comes out holiday 2020 that'll be a quick turnaround for Zelda, and if there is a second 3D Mario in let's say 2021, that would also be a very quick turnaround to get ready for Spring of 2023. Sometime between March and November 2023 we'll see Switch 2. A Mario Kart 9 + zelda or 3d mario or pokemon launch seems like the best thing to launch with.
So an expected 2023 Switch 2 release should come with a chip from probably 2021, not 2019.
