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Slownenberg on 27 December 2019
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zorg1000 said:
shikamaru317 said:

I wouldn't be surprised if they stick with the Switch concept and name moving forward, considering how successful Switch is. I suspect we could see Switch 2 as early as 2021. 1st party games will likely release on both Switch 1 and Switch 2 for a few years, but 3rd party devs will have the option of releasing on Switch 2 only. That is the only way that Switch can keep getting 3rd party ports after development moves to PS5 and XSX. Switch 1 will just be too weak for it to be worth it for 3rd party devs to downgrade PS5/XSX games to run on Switch 1, but a Switch 2 that is close to XB1/PS4 specs might just be able to keep getting 3rd party multiplat support next gen. 

They are not releasing a successor after only 4-4.5 years, Switch isnt Wii U.

Just because AAA support will drop (already low to begin with) does not mean support will be bad.

The majority of support comes from indies, Japanese games, previous gen ports/remasters, retro titles, family/casual titles, free to play titles, etc. In other words A-AA titles and these type of games arent at risk of leaving by any notable amount.

How many day and date AAA games have come to Switch? Most are very late, outsourced ports so Switch could still get some downported PS4/XBO games.

Yeah agreed. Expect Switch 2 in 2023, Nintendo isn't gonna try to kill off loads of free profit by releasing a new system well before Switch is ready to go. AAA support is on Switch is essentially nonexistent except a handful of like 4 to 8 year old games. So Switch won't be losing any AAA support from the new consoles.  A-AA support will continue because of Switch's massive install base and generally those games don't use the most amazing graphics currently possible.

Also, it wouldn't make sense to make a 2021 Switch 2 to garner 3rd party support from PS5/XboxSeries games because a Switch that releases in 2021 wouldn't be strong enough to even handle downgraded ports from those systems. A 2023 Switch just might be able to handle decent graphically downgraded versions of games that come out on systems that came out 3 years prior.

I think a good strategy for the next gen for Nintendo is to bring a system that has enough power to do a good job of handling downgraded version of PS5/XboxSeries games so that 3rd parties could port over new games to the Switch simply by making reasonable compromises. With all the money they'll make off this gen, they could possibly put out a system at that power level, sell it at a small loss at the start instead of a small profit in order to still make it affordable, pick up way more AAA 3rd party support, and continue the success of the Switch. Then again maybe they like the fact that first party sales dominate their system haha.