| Farsala said: That means you think Nintendo will support the Switch for 10+ years, if not 15. Or you are going to include Switch 2/pro/XL with Switch sales. Switch is tracking below both the Wii and the NDS and just a bit above the 3DS, so if it follows the home console route then it will sell less than the Wii, if it follows the handheld route then it will sell less then the NDS, but more than the 3DS. However, handheld sales have notably been getting weaker over the years. Outright outselling the NDS would require a 10+ year lifespan since it is behind it currently. Of the 154m, DS sold 33m JP, and 60m Americas and 61m Others. Which the Switch is pretty far behind in Japan and America. |
This part is not exactly accurate in portraying the current ecosystem as the current total for the handheld market would include both 3DS and Vita which total at 91m units sold and counting as that is what the NS is inheriting as the portable market has to go somewhere for their dedicated gaming fill that mobile doesn't offer NS has a full monopoly on that market, the DS era was an anomaly while the only other era with higher performance was the GB era which had a near monopoly this puts the current era at a normalization as it's higher than the GBA era by a good 10m and that era was pre-mobile in a full monopoly granted the GBA was cut short by the DS, the notion that the portable market has been getting weaker is actually misguided as even the 3DS by itself is not far off GBA sales despite having a troubled start and being in the era of mobile.
