The_Liquid_Laser said:
Well, I made this thread about 2 years ago and I still stand by it. I still think all of the handheld market plus most of the home market will buy a Switch. I definitely don't think this year is the peak year, not by a longshot. One thing I will say though, people have this image of the PS2 being unbeatable. Historically speaking, some home system becomes "the best selling yet" about half of the generations. Half the time the record gets broken and half the time it doesn't. I think this time around Switch is going to break the record. This sort of thing happens a lot more than people think. |
That means you think Nintendo will support the Switch for 10+ years, if not 15. Or you are going to include Switch 2/pro/XL with Switch sales. Switch is tracking below both the Wii and the NDS and just a bit above the 3DS, so if it follows the home console route then it will sell less than the Wii, if it follows the handheld route then it will sell less then the NDS, but more than the 3DS. However, handheld sales have notably been getting weaker over the years.
Outright outselling the NDS would require a 10+ year lifespan since it is behind it currently.
Of the 154m, DS sold 33m JP, and 60m Americas and 61m Others. Which the Switch is pretty far behind in Japan and America.
