zorg1000 said:
Nu-13 said:
Those number don't add up. So far the switch is following a similar sales curve compared to the ps4, only it's selling more. It will likely peak in 2020 and decline a little in 2021 but it's peak will be so high that the year after should still be over 20m. At that point the switch will be at around 100m. It will keep dropping in the following years, ending it's life at 125-130m.
I don't see these ps4 legs you're talking about. It had it's peak in 2017, declined a little last year, moderately this year and will continue declining next year. That's neither great or bad legs, just standard. If it drops 40% in 2020, 50-60% in 2021 and some more later, it's gonna end a little under 120m. If the drops are harsher, it could end at a little over 115m.
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That's a bit extreme, you think 2019, 2020 & 2021 will each be over 20 million? I could see next year selling similar to this year but 2021 will likely see a moderate decline.
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I can't see a scenario where the switch's 2020 isn't considerably above 2019. Why would you think it will sell similar numbers?