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curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Switch has almost no third party exclusives yet, even though the 3DS had a lot of third party exclusives.  Because of that I think there are a lot of third party exclusives still one the way.  All of these 3DS developers are actually working on Switch games right now.  A good example is Bravely Default 2, which was just announced.  I thought games like this would have been here sooner, but apparently going from the 240p 3DS to the 720p-900p Switch is going to prolong development time a lot.  It's a big adjustment.

Right now most third party games are ports or indies, but I think Switch has a much richer third party library in its future.  That will lead to much greater lifetime sales than 100m.  It won't just be first party games carrying the Switch almost single handedly.

I dunno, that would require third parties to pull their heads out of their collective rectums and invest in the platform, something I just can't see happening, with Switch nearing its third birthday and the likes of Activision and Capcom still treating it like it's the Wii U.

I am not talking about AAA games.  I am talking about 3DS sequels and the like.  Like I said, Bravely Default 2.  There are a whole lot of development teams that made exclusive games for 3DS, but we haven't seen similar original games for Switch yet.  I believe the lastest "Layton" game is actually a 3DS port, for example.  Where is the brand new Layton game?  It's still in development.

We just now got an announcement for Bravely Default 2.  This is the first taste of the games I am talking about.  They have been in development for a while now, and we'll probably start getting games like this in 2020.  I suspect these games take a long time to develop now, because it is a huge leap in technology to go from the 3DS to the Switch.  

Right now Switch is selling well based purely on 1) Nintendo IP, 2) third party ports and 3) indie games.  We are about to get a fourth leg of games to the Switch 4) third party exclusives.  These will mostly be from handheld developers, but it will be original content!  These new third party games mean that 2019 will not be Switch's peak year.  Switch will continue to get content from it's first 3 legs, while getting new content from the fourth leg as well.