PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

thismeintiel said:

zorg1000 said:

Fair enough on price but your 57.1m figure is shipments and PS4 was very overshipped at the end of 2016, they had 3.7 million on shelves/in transit which is much higher than normal so it's not really the most accurate comparison.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/olliebarder/2017/01/05/the-ps4-has-now-sold-53-4-million-units-worldwide-with-6-2-million-sales-over-the-2016-holidays/#4c22aa6c7b41

NSW shipments should be 54-55 million at the end of March with sell through over 52 million so about a ~1 million difference.

Ah, the old overshipped argument.  The problem with that is if that is the case, then the following slower quarter/s retailers will lower shipments to get rid of the extra stock.  Care to explain to me when that occurred, because:

Q1 2016: 2.3M vs Q1 2017: 2.9M - 600K in 2017's favor, total
Q2 2016: 3.5M vs Q2 2017: 3.3M - 400K in 2017's favor, total
Q3 2016: 3.9M vs Q3 2017: 4.2M - 700K in 2017's favor, total

I guess they just love having mountains of unsold PS4's lying around at all times.  So, yea, like I said, it will be 3M-4M ahead.  And shipment data is the only concrete data we have.  There are no estimates involved.

Like Stardoor already said, the sold more units than they shipped in 2017 according to Sony.

Here are calendar year sales vs shipments

2013-4.2m sold vs 4.5m shipped

2014-14.3m sold vs 15.4m shipped

2015-17.4m sold vs 17.8m shipped

2016-17.5m sold vs 19.4m shipped

2017-20.2m sold vs 19.4m shipped

2018-18.0m sold vs 17.7m shipped

There is no guesswork because Sony has given sell-through data at the end of each year so we know it was overshipped at the end of 2016.