PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[zorg1000]

thismeintiel said:

zorg1000 said:

PS4 had two official price cuts, two revisions and a few holiday discounts by the time it had been on the market for 3 years.

They should actually be virtually tied after PS4 next holiday.

PS4 end of 2016-53.4 million

NSW is at ~46 million and should be around ~50 million at the end of the year, add another ~3 million from Jan-March and it will be right there with PS4 after ~37 months.

He said aggressive price cuts and promotions.  Both of them had neither, except near the end of their 3rd years.  PS4 dropped to $299 with a revision.  Switch has a new revision that drops it to $199.  It wasn't until 2017 that Sony started doing the $199 BF deals.

And PS4 was at 57.1M at the end of 2016.  Switch will be ~3M-4M behind it at the end of next quarter.  For the next 3 quarters, PS4 sold 10.4M, so a gap of 13.4-14.4 to make up for.  If sales don't drop this coming year for Switch, it should retake the lead by 2M-3M the end of 2020.  That's when its Q1 of 2022, which will probably be 2-2.5M at that time, has to go against Sony's Q4 of 2017, where it did 9M.  PS4's lead will be back to 3.5M-5M.  Of course, that's if Switch has absolutely no drop in 2020.

Fair enough on price but your 57.1m figure is shipments and PS4 was very overshipped at the end of 2016, they had 3.7 million on shelves/in transit which is much higher than normal so it's not really the most accurate comparison.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/olliebarder/2017/01/05/the-ps4-has-now-sold-53-4-million-units-worldwide-with-6-2-million-sales-over-the-2016-holidays/#4c22aa6c7b41

NSW shipments should be 54-55 million at the end of March with sell through over 52 million so about a ~1 million difference.