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thismeintiel on 15 December 2019
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zorg1000 said:
thismeintiel said:

Uh, it has a $199 SKU, now.  Also, it's not like the PS4 had any of those, either, for the first 3 years.  As for launches aligned, they actually continually jump back in forth because of the different periods of times the holidays happen.  Currently, the PS4 is ahead.  After this quarter, the Switch will be ahead.  And then after next quarter, which is when Sony's holiday season was, PS4 will be ahead, again.

PS4 had two official price cuts, two revisions and a few holiday discounts by the time it had been on the market for 3 years.

They should actually be virtually tied after PS4 next holiday.

PS4 end of 2016-53.4 million

NSW is at ~46 million and should be around ~50 million at the end of the year, add another ~3 million from Jan-March and it will be right there with PS4 after ~37 months.

He said aggressive price cuts and promotions.  Both of them had neither, except near the end of their 3rd years.  PS4 dropped to $299 with a revision.  Switch has a new revision that drops it to $199.  It wasn't until 2017 that Sony started doing the $199 BF deals.

And PS4 was at 57.1M at the end of 2016.  Switch will be ~3M-4M behind it at the end of next quarter.  For the next 3 quarters, PS4 sold 10.4M, so a gap of 13.4-14.4 to make up for.  If sales don't drop this coming year for Switch, it should retake the lead by 2M-3M the end of 2020.  That's when its Q1 of 2022, which will probably be 2-2.5M at that time, has to go against Sony's Q4 of 2017, where it did 9M.  PS4's lead will be back to 3.5M-5M.  Of course, that's if Switch has absolutely no drop in 2020.