curl-6 said:
I just can't see the PS4 dropping off that fast unless they are super stubborn with pricing and never drop it to $200 or less. It's looking likely PS5 will be a $500 box, which leaves a lot of room for a cheap entry-level alternative in its first couple years. |
You're not really giving any concrete reasons why you believe that though and I've explained in multiple ways why it's unlikely to happen.
PS1/PS2 had such great legs thanks to emerging markets, those markets have grown significantly since then and PS4 got off to a much stronger start.
PS4 has been dropping at a faster rate than PS3 for the last 3 years.
PS3+360 were not popular entry-level alternatives after PS4/XBO released at $400-500 despite being sub-$200 with discounts to $100-150.
There is no if about Sony being stubborn with price reductions, the Slim & Pro models released over 3 years ago and have never gotten a permanent price cut and they have gone with the same price for 3 BF in a row.
The combination of all these things means that PS4 is unlikely to have extraordinary legs after PS5 releases, it will be just like PS3/360 and be an afterthought once the successors releases.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.