curl-6 said:
RolStoppable said:
The statement was in the context of replacement and has been repeated in a Q&A session with investors. Nintendo must have realized how foolish it was to cut the lifecycles of the DS and Wii short.
Beyond that, the launch dates that get commonly thrown around for the Switch successor don't make sense for two other reasons:
1. Switch is much more successful than the 3DS, and the 3DS had a full six years before it got replaced.
2. Console manufacturers target the holiday season for launch dates because it results in two strong months out of the gate instead of only one followed by a steep dropoff.
That's why spring 2023, 2022 as a whole and the utterly ridiculous 2021 are too early. Holidays 2023 onwards is much more sensible for the launch date of the Switch successor. The only argument that is ever made for those early launches is processing power, but anyone who thinks a minute or two about the importance of processing power (or rather the lack thereof) should realize how wrong that line of thinking is.
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2021 is indeed ridiculous but I don't think a spring 2023 release is out of the question, Switch released in March and had a strong launch.
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I think we're its ridiculous is that they will do a 6 year lifespan again when the market no longer does that and that it's unwise to kill a successful console early. The whole 6 year lifespan was an Iwata idea (and Iwata was an awful business strategist unless he took it directly from another book). Kimishima was basically saying they weren't going to stick to a hard and fast timeframe for the Switch like they did with the Wii and DS. Earliest I could see it is Holiday 2023 and that would be to take advantage of the holiday seasons (which would mean the Switch had a 6 and 3/4th year lifespan).
