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colafitte said:
StarDoor said:

It seems like there's a misunderstanding here. The charts pretty explicitly show that PS3 wasn't affected by Kinect in either the US or Europe, even as Xbox 360 skyrocketed in the US. Kinect didn't steal sales from PS3, it attracted sales from an audience that would not have purchased either of the HD twins otherwise.

The fact that you mention Wii actually detracts from your own argument. If you think Kinect caused a decline in Wii sales, then you acknowledge that it was the Kinect, rather than the base Gen 7 consoles, that had an overlap in audience with the Wii. This overlap does not exist between PS4 and Switch, because nothing like Kinect exists for the Gen 8 consoles.

I knew i should not have named Wii, even if i said it was from a lot of reasons. I knew you could bring me that back. Erase Wii then from the conversation, like if i never mentioned it.

The moment Wii declined could've been an opportunity to PS3 to up their sales in USA like it happened in the rest of western regions, but it didn't happened in USA because X360 occupied Wii place during those years. Saying Kinect audience would have not bought a PS3 instead is something we will never know for sure. Maybe there was an audience post Wii era that wanted a COD console to play and Kinect was the defining factor to choose a X360 instead of a PS3 in USA. You can't prove that it was not a possibility.

This is just as applicable to your argument as it is to mine. "Saying the Switch audience would have bought a PS4 instead if Switch didn't exist is something we will never know for sure." We may never know for sure, but we can speculate based on the data we have. I think there's far more evidence of the Xbox 360 reaching outside the typical Sony/Microsoft audience than there is of the Switch stealing sales from PS4/XOne.

Speaking of data, here's more of it:

North America Europe Japan Rest of World Global
PS2 + Xbox 69.42M 62.45M 23.71M 26.75M 182.33M
PS3 + Xbox 360 78.53M 60.86M 12.13M 21.69M 173.21M
% Change +13.12% -2.55% -48.84% -18.92% -5.00%

http://www.vgchartz.com/analysis/platform_totals/

It's no coincidence that Gen 7 sold considerably more in North America than Gen 6 despite declining in every other region. Gen 8 won't reach Gen 7 in the US because Kinect gave Xbox 360 wider appeal than a typical Sony/Microsoft console. That's all there is to it.

Your argument follows the same thought process as "consoles are dying because WiiU+XOne+PS4 are way behind Wii+360+PS3." Consumers are perfectly fine with not buying any console during a generation if they're all unappealing. It doesn't mean the audience has shrunk, or moved somewhere else.