usa: "PS4 has already sold more units this week > the last several months combined"

[zorg1000]

colafitte said:

RolStoppable said:

November and December have always the same amount of weeks - four and five, respectively. Cyber Monday falls into the December period this year, but I don't think that will make much of a difference for the PS4 when its Black Friday stock is usually sold out by Monday in most years. The PS4 should be expected to be down year over year in both November and December, the question is just by how much.

zorg1000 said:

No it didnt, November is always 4 weeks and December is always 5 weeks.

The difference is that BF/CM were a week earlier last year.

Ok, i was wrong with the number of weeks for each month so then i made my assumption thinking Nov sales will lack a week. Total ignorance of my part this time. 

If last year Nov+Dec was around 1'5M+0'8M for a total of 2'3M, then i expect something like 1'1M+0'7M (because despite CM Week not being that high for PS4 is still an important week) this year for a total of 1'8M. That would be closer to 20-25% drop instead of 33-35%. I really think the holiday season will not share the same drop % as the rest of the year but i must admit that this year i'm much less confident in any prediction i make than the ones i made last year because i have much less information now, so i won't bet anything on this .....

Edit: Oh, and i want to add, that, to the people who says Switch sales don't interfere on PS4+XBO and viceversa because they don't compete to each other, that i don't agree at all, and seeing how PS4+XBO have died this year while Switch sales have flourished i don't think it's a coincidence. PS4+XBO combo sales were far ahead of PS3+X360 in the same timeframe just until Switch came and then PS4 and XBO started to drop way faster than anticipated and they are going to end behind what X360+PS3 did, at least in USA.

I really believe now that PS5+XB2 will affect Switch sales in 2020 and definitively in 2021. Is just that most people just can't care about more than 1 console at the same time.

No problem, easy mistake to make and your 1.8 million prediction for Nov+Dec is definitely feasible.

PS4/XBO have died down because they are nearing the end of their cycles and reaching a saturation point, it has little to do with Switch.

Your PS3/360 vs PS4/XBO reasoning is flawed because they share different sales curves. PS3/360 had incredibly late peaks in large part from PS3 high initial price and 360 getting a casual hit in Kinect.

Looking at total sales PS3+360 sold 173 million and by the end of this year PS4+XBO will be over 150 million which means they are on track to sell similar numbers as the previous generation.