My prediction: PS4 will outsell Switch lifetime

[Barkley]

JRPGfan said:

Barkley said:
I said over 30m back in 2017, but now I think the PS4 will win by anywhere from 15m-20m.

The switch's success has surprised me.
It might be more reasonable to expect there to end up being around a ~20m differnce now.

I still have a hard time imagineing the Switch going over 100m though,
And expect the PS4 ends up atleast going over 120m.

2017 - 13.1m (13.1m)
2018 - 16.5m (29.6m)
2019 - 18.8m (48.4m)
2020 - 22m (70.4m)
2021 - 16.5m (86.9m)
2022 - 13m (99.9m)
2023+ - ~10m (110m)

This is what I roughly see happening, with a Switch successor launching March 2023. I may have underestimated 2019 and overestiamted 2020 though so it may be more flat those two years, with both getting around 20m.