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colafitte said:

According to VGC data, Switch sold last year from 27 oct 2018 to end of the year 8'1M and PS4 did 6'7M. Switch just doing the same as last year will put Switch sales around 19M in 2019 and 48'5M lifetime. It seems really probable Switch, thanks to Lite at 200$, is going to reach 20M this year and end close to 50M lifetime by the end of the year. Impressive stuff. Will this be the peak year of Switch?? I still think so, but who knows...

As for PS4, if the holiday season follow the % drop of all the year, PS4 should sell around 5-5'5M in the same period, so it seems PS4 is going to sell around 14'5-15'0M in 2019 as expected. That will put PS4 sales around 106'5-107'0M sold to consumers lifetime. If PS5 launches in November 2020, PS4 should add another 10M by then, so we can start to get a clearer picture of where PS4 will end when it's all said and done.

Yeah, I'm thinking either this year or next year will be the peak for Switch but it's hard to tell since we don't really know what it has lined up for big games outside of Animal Crossing or how the Lite model will push sales long term or if any new revisions or price reductions will happen.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.