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Mbolibombo on 31 October 2019
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colafitte said:

According to VGC data, Switch sold last year from 27 oct 2018 to end of the year 8'1M and PS4 did 6'7M. Switch just doing the same as last year will put Switch sales around 19M in 2019 and 48'5M lifetime. It seems really probable Switch, thanks to Lite at 200$, is going to reach 20M this year and end close to 50M lifetime by the end of the year. Impressive stuff. Will this be the peak year of Switch?? I still think so, but who knows...

As for PS4, if the holiday season follow the % drop of all the year, PS4 should sell around 5-5'5M in the same period, so it seems PS4 is going to sell around 14'5-15'0M in 2019 as expected. That will put PS4 sales around 106'5-107'0M sold to consumers lifetime. If PS5 launches in November 2020, PS4 should add another 10M by then, so we can start to get a clearer picture of where PS4 will end when it's all said and done.

Pending on announced games for 2020 - I think next year could be the peak Switch year.

We still havnt seen a pricedrop and when the PS5 and Scarlett releases I definately think Nintendo has some wiggle room to be very agressive to compete during the holiday and after. Perma drop OG to 249$ and a Lite 169$ and it's going to be a no brainer for anyone remotely interested in Nintendo games.

Granted we know close to nothing about Switchs output next year but if they get a few more heavy hitters outside of Animal Crossing (which will obviously happen) I think we're in for a 20M+ year next fiscal year and after that sales will drop.