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Conina said:

It is an (30 years old) established business news channel worth roughly $4 billion with coverage of U.S. and international financial markets: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CNBC

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Data_Corporation

And IDC is one of the bigger market research companies with thousands of analysts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Data_Corporation

But sure, let's just ignore or ridicule their estimates because the estimates of some other analysts are more in line with our own bias.

That's nice. Are you writing a research paper?

Doesn't explain where they got that 46.9 million number from or the fact that the 0.3% of sales coming from Japan does not match at all with the actual statistic you get when you divide 110,000 units (the amount of Xbox One units reportedly sold in Japan) by 0.003, which gets you to 36,666,667 units. 

Even if we're being generous and say that the percentage of sales is actually 0.25%, and we just rounded up to 0.3%, that would still only equate to 44 million units sold, which is WAY off that 46.9 million mark. 

So they obviously fucked up somewhere. And unless we get numbers or confirmation from the only party or source that matters, Microsoft, then we can't take what these guys are saying seriously, because what they're saying doesn't make any sense.