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Depends on (a) release games and (b) the backward compatability.

If (a) comes with the new Dragon Age (although worry about that as rumours are it's another online, microtransaction filled, second job game like Anthem) or a title I'm really want then I'll buy it from the off.
If (b) it means all the games I own/don't own on PS4 will be part of my library so I won't need to worry as much about game library when I have PS4 games to fall back on but this comes with idea that it needs to be affordable.

I expect to buy it 6 month to a year after really.

Hmm, pie.