Official UK government report on the expected consequences of a no-deal Brexit:
-Major holdups at channel ports.
-Significant electricity price increases.
-Shortages of certain foods and medicines.
-An increase in the crime rate.
Here's the latest polling date out of the UK concerning party support levels, which I'll below compare to the 2017 election outcome in the popular vote:
2017:
Conservative Party: 42.4%
Labour Party: 40%
Liberal Democrats: 7.4%
NEW POLL:
Conservative Party: 30%
Labour Party: 29%
Liberal Democrats: 17%
Brexit Party: 13%
As you can see, as things presently stand, both of the major parties stand to lose a significant number of votes in any new election, while the Liberal Democrats and Brexit Party pick up the slack and emerge as major players. And that represents a major shift. Just a week ago, there was a survey showing the Conservatives leading by a margin of 14 percentage points. The latest poll suggests that lead is down to just 1%, which would result in an actual reduction of seats held by the Conservative Party. If this trajectory continues (and it probably will), the end result of any new election could very well be the Liberal Democrats and the Brexit Party becoming genuinely competitive with Labour and the Tories respectively. Party loyalties are shifting fast as Brexit takes over the political debate.
Last edited by Jaicee - on 12 September 2019
