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Switch had shipped 2.79m more than it had sold to consumers by the end of Q3 last fiscal year.

Switch needs to have shipped 52.74m by the end of December to clear it's FY forecast in just the first 3 quarters. So if you assume a similar amount of surplus shipped then Switch will need to sell to consumers 20.47m this calendar year.

I'm going to predict 17m shipped in the first 3 quarters.

FY2019 Q1 : 2.13 M

FY2019 Q2 : 3.9 M

FY2019 Q3 : 11 M

Another 3m+ in FY2019 Q4 bringing the total for the FY above 20m.