| Barkley said: At this point it should reach at least 120m. It could go quite a bit further if they did substantial pricecuts post-ps5, as the amount of units sold after a successor seems very heavily tied to this. PS1 shipped around 29m units after the PS2 launched, it had a price cut to $49 in May 2002 So legs after a successor launch is heavily dependant on whether or not the console gets a substantial price cut after it's sucessor has launched. PS3 didn't and dropped like a rock. I'm not sure we will see substantial price drops for the PS4 after the PS5 comes out, so my personal prediction will probably be around 125m. But if we saw a drop to $199 it could be as high as 135m-140m imo. |
The bolded is great information to have, this is the "math" i had done on my own:
The PS4 had 91 million units sold at the start of this year, with a forecast of 15 million consoles to be sold this year which meant that next year the PS4 would be at 106 million, now obviously 2020 being the PS4s 7th year as well as the year the PS5 comes out means that the sales will have a rather big drop, however i believe the heavy hitters (TLOU2, Cyberpunk, FF7Remake) along with Ghost of Tsushima would help alleviate that drop in console sales, however lets be pessimistic and say that it goes from 15 million the year before to only selling 8 million next year, that puts the PS4 at 114 million which means it would need another 6 million (after the PS5 comes out) in order to reach the 120 million milestone.
i was unsure if it could reach those extra 6 million after the PS5 came out, but with the info (bolded) that you just provided me along with the info that Sony will keep supporting the PS4 for 3 more years, i now have no doubts it will get there.
