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Sony - Ps4 @100mill shipped! - View Post

estebxx said:

What will the lifetime sales look like?, Will it reach 120 million?, or at least 119 in order to beat the Gameboy? or will it end up arround 115 million?

At this point it should reach at least 120m.

It could go quite a bit further if they did substantial pricecuts post-ps5, as the amount of units sold after a successor seems very heavily tied to this.

PS1 shipped around 29m units after the PS2 launched, it had a price cut to $49 in May 2002
PS2 shipped around 48m units after the PS3 launched, it had a price cut to $99 in April 2009
PS3 shipped around 7m units after the PS4 launched, it's last price cut was to $269 with the launch of the superslim in September 2012.

So legs after a successor launch is heavily dependant on whether or not the console gets a substantial price cut after it's sucessor has launched. PS3 didn't and dropped like a rock.

I'm not sure we will see substantial price drops for the PS4 after the PS5 comes out, so my personal prediction will probably be around 125m. But if we saw a drop to $199 it could be as high as 135m-140m imo.