The US Politics |OT|

[Chrkeller]

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Chrkeller said:

You simply don't understand statistical modeling.  For the record I am an analytical chemist who does statistics on a regular basis.  Margin of error is plus AND minus, not plus or minus.  Meaning error is suppose to be random, not directional in a singular sense.  As an example if my specification is 8-12, with a target of 10; and I run multiple batches and come up with 11.2, 11.9, 10.9, 11.8, 11.1..  yes I am in specification.  But my error isn't random, it is systematic, which brings into question the accuracy of my model.  Being within error does not equate to the predicted mean being accurate.  But hey, I won't argue with you over this.  Believe what you want.

In practically all 11 battle states Trump scored systematically better than he was suppose to.  Being within error doesn't negate systematic error within the true mean.  

What's your expertise there? Quantitative or qualitative analysis?

I have experience with both, but more quant than qual.  Single quads for qual, triple quads for quant and I've done structural elucidation with ion traps and ToF.  Early in my career I was heavily into mass spectrometry.  More recently (last few years) I have moved further from the lab and lead stability and pharmacokinetic studies.