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JRPGfan said:

Lets say it does ~10m sales from now, until jan 2020.
97m now + 10m = 107m start of 2020.
Then in 2020 it does like 9m sales (down from 16m in 2019).
= 116m by the time the PS5 launches.

Then somehow sony decided to stop all PS4 production and not sell any more units..... and sales stay at 116m :p

I just dont see how it does that low though.
110m is still too low a estimate, imo, its obviously going to do more.

That would imply a serious boost in sales because it sold about 140k units this week and that's roughly a little over half a million units per month which if it maintains that level of sales, means 2.5 million units sold in the remaining 5 months of 2019 but you're projecting 10 million units sold in that lapse of time and I'm not saying you're necessarily wrong but it would take a tremendous boost in sales as I said and what we see these days is the opposite, sales are slumping which is normal since the system is in the last years of its cycle.

Then you project 9 million units sold in 2020 which is about 750k units per month next year. Again if it's only selling half a million units per month now why would it increase to 750k units next year when it's even closer to the end of its life?

So that's why I stand by a life time figure of 110 million units but like I said before it's just my estimate and nothing more, if I'm wrong I'm wrong