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sc94597 said:
Ail said:
I believe FF XIII will do less than the previous iterations in the serie in Japan but has the potential to do more in Others. Of course having a WW release as opposed to a Japan only release first would help.

For hardware it all depends your expectation.
When all is said and done MGS4 will probably have helped sell 100k extra consoles or so in Japan, doesn't seem like much except it's 5% of PS3 Japan sales.

I think you can reasonnably expect FFXIII to sell 200-300k extra PS3 or so in Japan, which will be around 7-10% of the install base at the time it comes out..

Yes that is a good amount, but is that really saving the ps3 in japan? How much do you expect sales to go back to after this?

@Crazzyman MGS4 worked because the MGS series never sold as much as the Final Fantasy series in japan. Even if it does sell 1 mln lifetime in japan( which I doubt it will) that is 50% compared to 100% attach rate. The ps3 does have the advantage of all of its owners being hardcore, but loses the advantage of the mainstream appeal of FF targetting casuals as well. Also the MGS series  is limited by a certain fanbase, because its very very niche. For htose of you who don't know what niche mean, it means only a certain group of people like it, not that it sells bad, but in most cases niche games do. Final Fantasy is more mainstream and could allow for better sales, but it is highly constricted by it's install base.

 

 

 I'm saying sales will spike for a few weeks and then go back to what they were before FF XIII release, the total spike being around 200-300k consoles over that time... ( I estimate the MGS4 is going to be 100k, so far we have 71k week 1 and 15k week 2 for MGS4). That is for Japan only...

 



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !