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Amnesia said:

SMM2 boost...Still something has changed, The Switch will never reach 100 millions. Without new big release, the sales are collapsing already, which means that the Switch has started its decline and 2019 will be the peak year, not 2020. Ofcourse there will be enough huge sales booster between SMM2 and Christmas to get strong numbers for this year, but I know now when I have to resell my shares.

This is actually the calm before the storm.  Not only is Nintendo about to release several big games (starting with MM2), but the Japanese third party companies have barely begun to release Switch games.  Many more are coming including Dragon Quest XI S this year.

Add onto this that there will likely be some sort of cheaper model releasing this year, and it's clear that Switch sales are ready to explode.  In Japan, especially, this is going to be their primary gaming machine at home or on the go for the next several years.