So the basis for Nintendo having a great holiday season is based mainly upon hardware sales with help from earlier releases.
A couple of multi-platform titles and one potentially good, but unproven FPS for the core audience really don't count for anything from the standpoint of driving hardware sales.
Any sales spikes in previously released software will be driven by new hardware purchases. Old games don't spur additional hardware purchases because it's the holidays. It's the other way around. At this point, I'm not even convinced Wii Fit can be considered a system seller come Fall, and I was previously very bullish on that release.
As far as software titles go, the rest of 2008 for the Wii is hinging on whatever Nintendo has in store for E3, plus a handful of potential top notch titles from third party developers like Capcom.
Ultimately what will determine hardware sales for the Wii, will be availability more than any hot soft titles.
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