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RolStoppable said:
I voted 17m, but that's without knowing anything about the game because Nintendo has not released any concrete information. I expect it to become the bestselling game in the series nonetheless. It has been a long time since the last game, this one is on Switch. Given that Nintendo's overall business strategy has changed to put the reputation of their IPs above all else, they aren't going to make a half-baked sequel.

A half baked sequel like City Folk (I loved the game but it didn't really add much) would probably sell 12m+ on the Switch.  It would take something like an Amiibo Festival to warrant terrible sales.  They've had years to work on the next mainline AC so I am expecting at least a New Leaf effort where they actually mixed things up a bit (but still stayed true to originals) and added a decent amount of new things.