Will the XBOX One outsell the SNES?

[Mr Puggsly]

OlfinBedwere said:

ironmanDX said:
It will be available for purchase until 2022. Can you see it not selling 7 million in that time? 2.3 million for the remainder of the year... Easy.

2.3 for next year? Easy. It's the year after it may fall below that... Which will probably not matter by that point.

Available for purchase, yes, but consoles have a habit of seeing their sales drop off a cliff once their successor has been formally announced. For a lot of 2012 and early 2013 there were many people on here who thought that the PS3 might be able to overtake the Wii right at the death, given how well it was selling, only for the PS3's sales numbers to take a tumble as soon as the PS4 was announced. Likewise, the Xbox One posted some really terrible sales numbers in mid-late 2017, probably in part due to the Switch's arrival, but also doubtless due to people holding off for the One X.

So yeah, the Xbox One might be able to overtake the SNES, but it really depends when Microsoft announce their next system (and possibly any further price drops they may pull).

We know when they will announce their new system, E3. That's why Sony jumped ahead to talk about PS5.

Ultimately, whether or not X1 passes SNES is dependent on 2019 and 2020. Sales will nose dive fast after that. Especially if the Xbox Lockhart is surprisingly cheap.