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Mbolibombo on 23 April 2019
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colafitte said:
Mbolibombo said:

What deems this to be the expected though? Do you think Nintendo expected to be 40% up YoY in Japan in Q4, do you think Nintendo expected Q4 to be the best selling jan-mar this generation for any platform? I dont.

I think 17M is on the low end, I believe Switch has performed much better this quarter than Nintendo expected. But who knows, we will find out in matter of days though ;p

I'm still betting on 17.5-18M

Nintendo themselves said they expect Switch shipping exactly 17'0M units this FY. That's not something i invented, and they said that just after announcing Q3 numbers, so i don't expect Nintendo suddenly changing that much their expectations for the last quarter of the FY, and sales to consumers seems to confirm that number, because VGC is already showing that growth in JP and US, and still the total sales to consumers are what they are.

I already explained why Switch sales to consumers can be so high and shipments not that much. In fact, it's perfectly reasonable what is happening, but ey, we'll see it when Nintendo confirm the numbers in a few days if you don't want to accept what i'm saying.

What a total non answer to what I said.. but whatever =)

Nintendo said 17M is the new forecast in their latest fiscal. They also said 20M was to be expected just 3 months prior to that, things change based on performance. And based on the performance of the Switch this quarter I do believe that forecast will be surpassed with 0.5-1M units.

Not rocketscience, it has nothing to do with me not accepting what you said you are very welcome to share your thoughts and while they are well thought out and I agree with some of it. I just dont fully agree with what you are saying.