Mbolibombo said:
colafitte said:
I guess you were referring to me so i quote you:
Oh come on!, when i said "on the shelves" is like every other same situation for any console. If you prefer on the shelves+in trasition that's what i meant.
And i said "a little bit too much" and i explained already what i meant with that, that i was saying that if "on shelves" were 2'0, 2'1 or even 2'2M. So 200k, 300k, 400k units more, that the meaning of a "little bit". I said too that it was just my opinion, but that is perfectly possible it can happen too, i never insinuated it's not going to happen, in fact i said there will be 3 possible outcomes but i guess no one care of that part... . One of them even that Switch has sold more than VGC showing.
Switch could sell 4'0M to consumers in Q4 and still "only" ship 2'5M. It's perfectly possible, but again, i'm not saying this is what is going to happen. Like i said, rounding numbers, 2'5M shipped and 3'5M units sold to consumers like VGC is showing is perfectly fine, and i think is what is happening in reality.
So yeah, 2'5M for Q4, 17'0M for FY2018, 34'8M for total shipments, and around 33'0M sold to consumers with around 1'8M left to sell. Like i said in the first sentence of my original post, "performing as expected" not just for me but for Nintendo themselves.
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What deems this to be the expected though? Do you think Nintendo expected to be 40% up YoY in Japan in Q4, do you think Nintendo expected Q4 to be the best selling jan-mar this generation for any platform? I dont.
I think 17M is on the low end, I believe Switch has performed much better this quarter than Nintendo expected. But who knows, we will find out in matter of days though ;p
I'm still betting on 17.5-18M
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Nintendo themselves said they expect Switch shipping exactly 17'0M units this FY. That's not something i invented, and they said that just after announcing Q3 numbers, so i don't expect Nintendo suddenly changing that much their expectations for the last quarter of the FY, and sales to consumers seems to confirm that number, because VGC is already showing that growth in JP and US, and still the total sales to consumers are what they are.
I already explained why Switch sales to consumers can be so high and shipments not that much. In fact, it's perfectly reasonable what is happening, but ey, we'll see it when Nintendo confirm the numbers in a few days if you don't want to accept what i'm saying.
