Look at the sales of casual games on the PS2. There are still millions of casuals, let alone core gamers that have yet to pick a new console. Look the sales of the of Lego IJ as an example.
I believe that the Wii will have little difficulty selling over 1000k in 3 different holiday weeks. There is going to be a huge holiday stock pile. My number are conservative overall, they really depend on shipments of course. The week ending the 20th could easily be like last year and have lowshipments, then the week of Cmas be close to 2000k.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
