Global Hardware 16 March 2019

[zorg1000]

CosmicSex said:

zorg1000 said:

I agree that Switch wont catch PS4 but 65 million? It's already halfway there, can you show me one successful console that has sold 50% of its lifetime sales in 2 years?

Just out of curiosity, what do you expect Switch sales to be at the end of this year?

If we are talking about calendar year I say no less than 43 million.  And 45 million is possible easily.  Next year will NOT sell like this year.  PS5 and Xbox Next will be competing for the huge chunks of the market.  So this year is their Greatest year. Demand for the Switch will fall sharply next year and will settle around 65 to 70 million. 

43-45 million would mean it sells less than 2018, if you think 2019 will be its greatest year than 46 million would be the minimum.

PS5/XB4 will not have any notable affect on Switch sales, there is literally no data that supports something like that happening. I would like you to show me one example of a consoles sales plummeting due to a different company releasing a new console 3-4 years later.

Switch selling only 65 million would give it by far the worst legs of any successful console of all time, significantly worse than Wii. It just doesnt make any sense to think that.