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zorg1000 said:
CosmicSex said:
Without beating a dead horse, I think its safe to say that the Switch will not obtain PS4 sales. The reason is because I seriously don't think Switch can hold on for six years like a PlayStation can. The caveat will be if the Switch can do a mid gen refresh a la Pro. Even then, its going to be one heck of a task for Switch to catch up. I still have imposed a hard limit of 65 million for Switch and about 115 million for the PS4.

I agree that Switch wont catch PS4 but 65 million? It's already halfway there, can you show me one successful console that has sold 50% of its lifetime sales in 2 years?

Just out of curiosity, what do you expect Switch sales to be at the end of this year?

If we are talking about calendar year I say no less than 43 million.  And 45 million is possible easily.  Next year will NOT sell like this year.  PS5 and Xbox Next will be competing for the huge chunks of the market.  So this year is their Greatest year. Demand for the Switch will fall sharply next year and will settle around 65 to 70 million.