Global Hardware 16 March 2019

[DonFerrari]

zorg1000 said:

DonFerrari said:

I haven't seem TLOU in your previous post, if it was there my bad I missed. I would say this year have a small leg up as TLOU as exclusive is much more expected than RDR2 on PS4.

Using VGC before shipment correction to predict the YOY down will only lead us to miss projections.

I doubt that TLOU will be bigger than RDR2 on PS4. RDR2 did 23 million in 2 months, at least 15 million of that was from PS4. TLOU did 17 million in 5 years on PS3+PS4. TLOU2 should sell more than 10 million this year if it releases in Sept/Oct but still much less than RDR2.

The problem you're making though is comparing titles in isolation when you need to be comparing the overall lineup over the year and it doesnt look like either will have any notable advantage.

Sure  Official numbers from Sony will give us a better picture but we have NPD+Media Create which have PS4 down by ~450k in Jan+Feb and there is no reason at all to not expect Europe & RotW to be down as well.

I don't think TLOU2 will outsell RDR2, I do think it won't sell less HW than RDR2, two different things.

Europe and RoW will likely be down, but will it be by 200k? Same for how much Switch is up. We have seem big adjustment for month or quarter period in the recent past.