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Mnementh said:
MasonADC said:

It’s 2D Mario, and the first new 2D Mario on Switch. That’s enough said imo

NSMBUD was already released earlier this year and reportedly already outsold it's WiiU counterpart. So 2D Mario is present. Also I'm not sure if Mario Maker is exactly the same niche. It appeals to people that enjoy user-generated content, professional level design and coherent game with themes and all seem to be a bit different (although admittedly there might be overlap between both user-groups). So no, it will not sell 10 million on 2D-Mario account.

That said though, it might be possible for NSMBUD to sell 10M, is sold 5.6M on WiiU, and earlier entries on DS and Wii sold over 20M each and on 3DS over 10 million. It might still be more likely for a complete new NSMB to sell over 10 million, but the port may have a chance to clear it. But not Mario Maker.

NSMBU on Wii U sold 5 million units, so the switch version hasn’t outsold it yet. Mario maker appeals to the same casual crowd as NSMBU, and even more so to a hardcore crowd, and there is absolutely no way NSMBU outsells Mario maker 2