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(In my best Lisa Loud impersonation)

According to my calculations, by the 7th week of 2018, the Nintendo Switch had sold through approximately 11.474054% of its total yearly sales in Japan. If the same percentage were to hold for this year, the Switch, in Japan for the year 2019, would sell 5,214,251 units. Considering the software lineup Nintendo currently has planned, the chances of them selling these many units is more likely than unlikely, I would say.