I think it will look something like this
June - Mario maker 2
July/August - Fire Emblem, Daemon X Machina, Astral Chain*
September - Luigi's Mansion
Oct/Nov/Dec - Animal Crossing*, Town*, Pokemon, Zelda
I put * next to the games that might get pushed back. Town is the most likely, while Pokemon will definitely come out this year. Gamefreak will take people off of Town to release Pokemon on time. Pokemon is still the most important release Nintendo will have this year. Astral Chain is the next most likely. This game has come out of nowhere and Platinum games is also working on Bayonetta 3. It might get pushed back. Finally, I think there is a greater than 50% chance that Animal Crossing will come out this year, but it has a chance of getting pushed back. They are going to make sure this game comes out complete and flawless, and they can get away with pushing it back since they already have such a strong 2nd half. Still, I think AC will most likely come out this year anyway.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox