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colafitte said:
Miyamotoo said:

I cant comment your prediction for sales because you didnt said why you expect those numbers, but when you make disccusion and comparing numbers pls stick to shipped numbers, because we getting oficcall shipped numbers from Nintendo, and we also have shipped numbers from 3DS, its much harder to track sold numbers, so stick to facts, at end of 2018. Switch is at 32.3m.

I already explained multiple times why is my reasoning for this year, for the next ones there's no possible way to explain them. 

As for the numbers, fair point. 

Shipped by fiscal year:

FY 2019  18M

FY 2020  11M

FY 2021  10M

FY 2022   7M

FY 2023   5M

So around 85M shipped by March 2024.

It's going to go from a 40% drop in FY20 to a 10% drop in FY21? That's an odd sales curve.

When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.