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zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

Even if it was only in JP this would be the first time i see such minimal gap between shipped and sold after Q3, after selling more than 8 or 9M even by Nintendo standars. And after knowing JP, US, and most important markets in Europe, everything still points to VGC overtracking some markets, like it happened with XBO recently. 

This is the first time you have seen such minimal gaps? Here are comparable Nintendo platforms after 2nd post-launch holiday.

DS end 2006

Sold-34.62m

Shipped-35.61m

Difference-0.99m

 

Wii end 2008

Sold-43.70m

Shipped-44.96m

Difference-1.26m

 

3DS end 2012

Sold-26.05m

Shipped-27.73m

Difference-1.68m

 

Switch end 2018

Sold-30.22m

Shipped-32.27m

Difference-2.05m

I'm not sure if you have seen my edit in that post. But 2008 is an unfair comparison because Wii in those holidays was impossible to find. That's why i used as a more accurate data 2010 numbers, where like i explained to were 2'5M on shelves. The same can be said about DS in 2006. The thing is when you ship more than 8M in Q3.

The fact that Nintendo is conservative about Q4 is another clue that there's still a lot of stock left.

Edit: Now i see your bonus for PS4 in 2015. An "exception that confirms the rule"..... This is just a theory, i could be wrong, i'm just  going by my instintcs... I just don't believe Switch is so low on shelves after today news...

Last edited by colafitte - on 31 January 2019