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colafitte on 26 January 2019
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Intrinsic said:
colafitte said:

I was just joking...XD

But i disagree a lot in something you said. TLOU 2 won't affect more PS5 sales than PS4 ones... When PS5 launches it will sell everything Sony is capable to produce. If they produce 5M before year ends, they will sell them, if it's 6M the same. It doesn't need a TLOU II to sell, like PS4 didn't need any blockbuster exclusve game to sell more than 4M in just a month, even without Japan back in 2013.

And if PS4 indeed lowed the price to 200€ this month and 99€ in the holiday season it could sell more than 17-18M, more like 20M...lol.

Oh you are totally correct..... the PS5 wouldnt need TLOU2 to drive sales. I was just speaking hypothetically.

And a $199 PS4 right now and $99 in november and december will be a 20M seller. But sales will tank when it goes back up to $199. Lets not forget that sony will probably be losing money on the hardware at that price. Unless they take out the disc drive. 

I think thats something people forget when lookin at the PS2 and the PS4. It was easier getting a PS2 down to $99 than it will ever be with the PS4. Just the two drives it has (disc drive and HDD) already is like $55. And that is before you add APU, Ram and controller lol. 

Like we already discussed another time. The most probable thing happening is just a $50 price cut for every version, maybe around June, and another holiday season with $200 for base PS4, maybe this year better deals for PS4 pro (a $200 pro maybe? who knows). But all in all, PS4 should be this year around 16M more or less. If price cuts don't happen or are not as effective as expected it will do around 15M, and if Sony surprise us with better price cuts and deals than expected, maybe it could be close to 17M this year too. 

What i've learned about this gen is that is not wise to bet against PS4...We'll see what happens.

And about Switch...., if Switch doesn't have an interesting catalogue of games for the first 6-7 months, it can happen what happened in 2018. Good software sales that don't translate to more hardware sales. I know there's lot of games for Switch coming this year too, but i'm not seeing why this year is better than last. I think Switch has reached a point where more games won't translate to much more sales, at least not as much as some are expecting. Price cuts and revisions would help more, but i'm very convinced that Nintendo aproach this gen is not about units sales but about profits, so if they see they sell 17-18M (maybe a little more) at $300 in 2019 they are going to do it. So Switch should be the best selling console this year, but i have a feeling is not going to be as easy as predicted.