Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

[zorg1000]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

potato_hamster said:

Ohh this, is.... Wow.

... you know Sony and Microsoft are releasing new console that are going to making porting to the Switch even more difficult than in it is now, right? Even now Switch ports are mostly all limited to games that aren't very resource intensive. Why on earth would this actually get better?

zorg1000 already gave an excellent answer to this.  But I would like to add that Switch by far the best selling platform in Japan right now.  That means it is the default platform for 95% of Japanese games currently in development.  These developers are not even questioning if their game should come to Switch.  Instead they are asking, "is it even worth it to port to a Sony/Microsoft platform?"  In very many cases that answer will be "no". 

Switch is going to have a ton of third party exclusives when all is said and done.  Sure most of these exclusives will be indie or Japanese, but they will still be third party exclusives.

Japanese developers care for more than just Japan though. For bigger games and western focused games, the Playstation brand will likely still be their go to choice and since it's so easy to port to Xbox, it will likely get a large percentage of those games as well and Switch will get the ones that can feasibly be ported to it.

Where Switch will truly shine is in the medium sized titles. Many of these games were cross-gen between Vita/PS3/PS4 up until a year or so ago, 8n a couple years that will transition to NSW/PS4/PS5.

Also many of studios who made 3DS exclusives will likely transition to Switch.