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I never doubted it. I mean... since we knew that both Pokémon and Smash Bros. were coming for christmas, I was surprised by how almost everyone on this site thought 20 mil was impossible. It's Pokémon and Smash, two of the biggest franchises in videogame history. If there are games that makes people buy a console... its these two. Not one megaton. TWO MEGATONS. Add New Super Mario Bros. U in January to the mix and it's almost guaranteed that they will reach 20m or even surpass that number.